Thursday, November 04, 2004

Election Analysis 2: The Margin of Victory

Karl Rove had estimated that 4 million evangelical Christians did not vote in 2000. For whatever reason, such a large percentage of the vaunted Religious Right did not care to participate last time around. The result - Bush squeaked by with an electoral college victory, but he lost the popular vote by 500,000. This time, however, the President won the most votes ever in the popular vote, beating Senator Kerry by 3.5 million votes.

Do the numbers add up? The President received a 4 million vote swing in 2004. Could it have been, in large part, those 4 million evangelical Christians?

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